This page provides resources, original research, and tools that could help individuals and policy makers with a scientific, balanced, and evidence-based approach to manage and navigate the COVID-19 Pandemic across the globe.
Watch my colloquium at Perimeter Institute (July 29, 2020) about this work (slides in keynote and PDF)
Read our paper: Diverse local epidemics reveal the distinct effects of population density, demographics, climate, depletion of susceptibles, and intervention in the first wave of COVID-19 in the United States
United States COVID Immunity Maps (as of October 3, 2020)
These maps show the immunity, and/or rate of relative growth of COVID mortality in different US counties, should social mobility returns to its normal (pre-Pandemic) level. As of October 3rd, 2020, the best-fit model predicts that 21% ± 7% of US population live in counties that have passed herd immunity threshold, i.e. the COVID-19 daily mortality should not grow at resumption of normal social activity.